Chapter 5 Managed Care
Arrives In one of his last acts as US
President, Richard Nixon signed the HMOs Act of 1973
that made managed care possible. Some have argued that this
was Nixon's revenge against the American people. If HMOs had been created to
increase expenses, reduce care, remove physicians from
decision-making, and create havoc in the relationship
between physicians and patients, one could call them a
tremendous success. The defenders of managed care argue
that HMOs were the solution to inflation in medical costs.
The opposite is true. Total national health
expenditures were 73.2 billion in 1970. By 1997, they had
increased to 1,092.4 billion. According to the Health Care
Financing Administration (HCFA), national health
expenditures will total $2.1 trillion by 2002. Two reasons
for the expected increase in costs are the
increases in expenditures in the HMO-dominated private
sector, and lack of expectation that managed care will
produce savings. In the field of psychiatry, there
was no financial reason before the advent of managed care to
believe that there was unreasonable inflation. An in-depth
study of utilization and cost of psychiatric care published
in 1972(7) concluded that "The available data indicates that
hospital care for mental conditions in all types of
hospitals for up to 365 days per admission can be provided
for a representative working population for about $4.50 per
covered person at 1969 hospital cost levels. This is equal
to about six or seven percent of the cost for all
conditions. Physicians' in-hospital service for these
patients, at 1969 fee levels, would cost in the neighborhood
of 60 to 70 cents per covered person. Major medical coverage
of outpatient psychiatric care at 1969 fee levels, at 80
percent of charges after a deductible of $100, would cost
about $2.15 per covered person....Limited first-dollar
coverage of outpatient psychiatric care, as under the United
Auto Workers and Group Health Insurance programs, had
benefit costs in 1970 in the range of $1.80 to $2.40 per
covered person." These and other figures indicate that
there is no evidence for unbridled inflation in the years
before the enactment of the HMOs legislation. Elsewhere here we have indicated
that medical expenses were increasing. The reasons are
many: In the late 1960s, Paul M.
Ellwood Jr., M.D., a private practicing pediatric
neurologist, coined the term "health maintenance
organization". He convinced President Richard M. Nixon to
make competing HMOs the centerpiece of his health-care
program. Dr. Ellwood, who was also Clinical
Professor of Neurology, Pediatrics, and Physical Medicine
and Rehabilitation at the University of Minnesota, also
became chief executive of both the InterStudy think tank in
Minnesota and the Jackson Hole Group in Wyoming. He not only
sponsored ideas used by Mr. Nixon in the early 1970's, but
was one of the principal architects of President Clinton's
"managed care competition" concept. The progression of HMO thinking can
be traced through some 58 of Dr. Ellwood's papers between
1966 and 1997. In 1966(8), he wrote: "Outcome management" became
a central piece in Dr. Ellwood's thinking, well represented
in his Shattuck lecture of 1988(9), when he advocated for
clinical guidelines; measurement of the functioning and
well-being of patients, along with disease-specific clinical
outcomes, and analysis and dissemination of
results. In the same lecture, Dr. Ellwood
saw the federal HMO legislation as the product of a "health
crisis". The result was not outcome
management, the result, in Dr. Ellwood's words, was "a
mass movement toward a health care system influenced by
market forces, incentive-based payment arrangements, and
aggregation of providers". A scientific idea had been
derailed into a very substantial shift of power from
physicians to the insurance companies and
business. In 1996(10), Dr. Ellwood was asked
what happened to derail his vision. Dr. Ellwood's
answer: Once power went from physicians and
patients to the entrepreneurs, the emphasis changed from
quality to cost containment. What about quality through "outcome
management"? In 1996(10), many years into the HMO
revolution, Dr. Ellwood was hopeful: "We've reached a point
where the business community realizes that it can control
costs and is prepared to shift to emphasizing
quality." Unfortunately, costs have continued to
increase, so that business may not be ready as yet for
quality. Dr. Ellwood's long time associate
is economist Alain C. Enthoven. In 1978, he gave the
Shattuck Lecture. The reason to mention it more than 20
years later, is to remember the early thinking of the HMO
leaders. Dr. Enthoven said, Some of the arguments in favor of
this fully capitated system were accompanied with almost
insulting remarks: Dr. Enthoven did not present his
evidence, which he said was "suggestive, not
conclusive" Both Dr. Enthoven and Dr.
Ellwood(11) have moved to consider ideas that are far
removed from their initial proposals. One of them is the
"After-tax Medical Savings Account", "an approach worth
trying", and under which Drs. Ellwood and Enthoven are
against pre-tax MSAs, but their support of post-tax MSAs
seems to clash with their early ideas. The impact of managed care on
American medicine will be the subject of much debate in
years to come. As of 1999, we are impressed that the
prophecies of early managed care critics seem to have become
realities. A few years after the
implementation of managed care strategies, papers started to
appear in the leading medical journals questioning the
approach and predicting that it would fail. Writing in the
New England Journal of Medicine in 1984, Eli Ginzberg(12)
summarized the concerns of Arnold Relman, M.D. and others,
and warned that American medicine appeared to be turning
into a business. The invasion of for-profit outfits
would lead to the monetarization of medical care, which is
precisely what we saw in subsequent years with the
predominance of for-profit HMOs. Even if this could lead to
temporary and apparent savings, William B. Schwartz,
M.D.(13) and others were writing in the 1980s that the
HMO driven cost-containment strategies applied to the wrong
components of care. The wrong forces acting in the wrong
direction could only produce inevitable
failure.
main
|
table
|
intro|
1
|
2
|
3|
4
|
5
|
6
|
7
|
8
|
9
|
10
|
11
|
12
|
13
|
14
|
15
|
16
|
17
|
18
|
* ©2000 Munoz and
Eist, The People v. Managed Care
Hospitals were
converting into highly sophisticated and expensive
medical centers.
New technologies,
diagnostic tests and treatment schedules were
transforming many areas of medical care. Advances in
diagnosis and treatment usually led to more expensive
programs and treatments.
An increasingly
informed public was requesting, often demanding,
better medical care.
The population was
changing. Medicine was beginning to face the problems of
a growing older population with many medical
needs.
More individuals
with extensive medical needs were staying alive for
longer periods.
Medical costs
were distorted by employer sponsored health insurance,
so that the relationship between the person consuming
the services and the person in charge of the bill became
more difficult to trace. The obligations and rights of
the employee as a patient became increasingly
blurred.
Medical care
came to be seen as a commodity provided by a very large
group of competing organizations interested in financial
survival. Some came to attribute inflation in health
care to the financial interests of the organizations in
charge of medical care. Regardless of its merits, this
view was a major consideration among the founders of
managed care.
It has been shown that the
course to be taken in developing a system of quality
control will include the following steps:
1. Defining
the outcomes that are sought for the health care
process in major medical problems.
2. Involving
the professional staff members who manage care of
patients with these diseases in the
criterion-formulation process.
3.
Converting the outcome criteria into numerical
scores that will permit machine processing and
impersonal evaluation of the data. This is a far
thornier problem than it may seem to be.
4. Experiment
ceaselessly to 1) improve the complex process of
predicting outcomes, 2) increase the variety of ways
in which data of this kind can be used, and 3) refine
the systems developed so that each responds
sensitively to a particular disease entity
category."
These four simple steps,
described for a rehabilitation program, indicate that
vastly improved quality control systems can be developed
in the very near future, and for every kind of common
disability.
Costs were surging.
Patients were beginning to challenge the authority of
doctors, and doubts were being raised about the efficacy
of some expensive medical procedures.
A global business
competition created a need to control costs. American
corporations felt they had to improve their products and,
at the same time, reduce the cost of making those
products. And one of the first things that the chairmen
of these corporations said to the heads of their benefits
departments was, "Do something about these rising health
care expenses".
An economically rational
health plan will have built-in incentives for cost
effectiveness. It will reward people for finding ways to
deliver better care at less cost....physicians will
accept responsibility for providing comprehensive
health-care services to defined populations, largely for
a prospective per capita payment.
I believe that a great
deal of 'flat-of the-curve medicine' is being practiced
in the United States today - that is, application of
health-care resources yielding no discernible or valuable
health benefit.
Congress would set a
fixed dollar tax credit amount (presumably one for
individuals, couples, etc). The whole credit would be
available to any one buying coverage, meeting standards
that would include a deductible no higher than, say
$3,000 and a requirement that anybody choosing a plan
with a deductible (possible above another threshold such
as $200) would have to fund the deductible up-front with
after-tax dollars in an MSA. Because the $3,000
deductible would continue to be attractive to the healthy
and wealthy, risk selection should be monitored and an
appropriate remedy employed if a problem
occurs.